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NBA Draft Lottery notebook: Odds and Ends

May 5th, 2017 at 7:21 PM
Aggregated By Sports Media 101

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The NBA Draft lottery, which will be held Tuesday, May 16th, is quickly approaching. As I watch other organizations take part in the NBA playoffs, I can’t help myself from thinking (and hoping) that this year’s lottery results could be the break Magic fans have been waiting for. This year could be the year that the organization garners up some of that lottery “Magic” they once had in the days of Pat Williams and company.

I’m sure I’m not the only one hoping and wishing. Magic fans, the odds are not insurmountable. But the odds are not exactly in our favor either. Let me explain…

1) Most likely lottery scenario: 6th pick (35.9% chance)

According to Tankathon.com, Orlando currently holds a 35.9% chance to come away with the 6th pick in this year’s lottery. These odds are the most likely outcome of any of Orlando’s possible outcomes in the lottery.

Does that sound strange? Why would a team with the fifth-best odds have a most likely scenario of selecting sixth? Remember, the true draft lottery only affects the top three selections. The remaining picks outside of the top three are rewarded to teams in ascending order based off of won-lost records from last season (lowest winning percentage to highest). In other words, just one team jumping Orlando by getting rewarded with a top-three pick in the lottery would push the Magic to sixth.

The following is a list of sixth overall selections in the NBA Draft over the past ten years:
2007 – Yi Jianlian (drafted by Milwaukee)
2008 – Danilo Gallinari (drafted by New York)
2009 – Jonny Flynn (drafted by Minnesota)
2010 – Ekpe Udoh (drafted by Golden …

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http://www.orlandopinstripedpost.com/2017/5/5/15484222/2017-nba-draft-lottery-odds-orlando-magic

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Tags: Andrea Bargnani, Anfernee Hardaway, Bismack Biyombo, Boston Celtics, Buddy Hield, Chris Webber, Damian Lillard, Danilo Gallinari, Dwight Howard, Ekpe Udoh, Jan Vesely, Joe Smith, John Wall, Jonny Flynn, Kevin Durant, Knicks, Kris Dunn, Lakers, magic, Marcus Smart, Mario Hezonja, Minnesota Timberwolves, NBA Draft, NBA Playoffs, Nerlens Noel, New Orleans Pelicans, Philadelphia 76ers, Sacramento Kings, Tankathon.com, Thomas Robinson, Washington Wizards, Willie Cauley-Stein, Yi Jianlian

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